Posts Tagged ‘Art of War’

The elements of a winning plan

November 11, 2009



These are the elements of a winning plan:

  1. The discovery of information
  2. The objective – part of the leader’s best future
  3. Forecasting and assumption(s)
  4. Resolve – The leader’s willingness to accept the costs which are necessary in order to reach the objective.
  5. Adaptability – The leader’s willingness to select the instruments which are necessary in light of information in order to reach the objective at least cost.  Note that space time paths are treated as instruments in this model since we say and write “good timing” and the selection of a correct path are instrumental in achieving a good result.
  6. Proposals
  7. Forecasts-“game out” each proposal
  8. Scoring – equity v. efficiency
  9. The plan – the highest scoring proposal
  10. Discipline – the leader’s willingness to accept the opportunity costs in order to reach the objective at least total cost.
  11. Superabundance or Redundancy of #4 and the instruments in #5.  See generally, triple modular redundancy.
  12. Rehearsal
  13. Force = instruments in #5, x4.  This is the “execution phase” of the plan.
  14. Review and appraisal of each application of #13.
  15. Argument for completeness.  Why exactly 14 elements?  I claim that 14 elements are both necessary and sufficient.  Necessity:  run plan with 14 elements above, value result.  Now, drop any element.  Then, run plan with your 13 elements.  If the value of the first result is greater than the value of your second result, the 14 elements are in fact “necessary.”  Sufficiency:  recall the value of the result using a plan with the 14 elements above.  Now add a 15th element, your choice.  Value the result-2, following the execution of a plan with 15 elements.  I claim that the value of result-2 will be less than or equal to the value of the first result, or that the 15th element was an instrument deployed pursuant to #5 Adaptability.  So, the 14 elements presented above are “sufficient” for a winning plan.


I submit that with the proper selection of instruments in #5 this “planning model” will meet and overcome any biological, technological, and/or cybernetic threat.  This “planning model” was created to generalize the earlier remarks on War by the author known as Sun Tzu.